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Statistics Behind Poker Pot OddsMon 03 July 2017
The concept of pot odds is easy to understand. It's simply the relationship, expressed as a ratio, between the size of the bet you are making or calling and the number of those bets in the pot. For example, if there is $12 in the pot and you have to call a $3 bet, then you are getting pot odds of 4 to 1, expressed as 4:1.
The "4" in the above equation is the number of bets in the pot (not the amount of money), and the "1" in the equation represents your bet. If you have to call $6 with that same $12 in the pot, you're getting pot odds of 2:1. If you have to call $8 with a $12 pot, you're getting pots odds of 1.5:1.
Oddsmakers sometimes factor out any fractions to make the odds easier to understand. They do so by multiplying the odds by two or three. Odds of 1.5:1 becomes odds of 3:2, and odds of 3.5:1 becomes 7:2. It's exactly the same thing; it's just easier to read and to understand.
Continuing with the above example, what are your pot odds if you have to call $9 with a $12 pot? Can you express those odds without the fraction? Answer at the end of the chapter.
When you have a hand you know you're going to be playing, you should always be aware of what the pot odds are. That's relatively easy to do once you know how and get into the habit. You can take my word for it now that knowing the pot odds will have a positive effect on your hourly rate.
To know your pot odds, all you have to do is count the number of bets that go into the pot throughout the hand. Make sure to keep your tally running through each betting round. Don't get sidetracked, as so many players do, with the actual amount of money in the pot.
For example, assume you're on the button with KV10V. The big blind is already in the hand, so you start counting, "1,2, 3," and so on, for each bet that goes into the pot. If there are six callers by time the action gets to you, and you decide to call, then you're getting pot odds of 6:1 with the small blind left to act. If he calls, you're getting pot odds of 7:1.
What if someone then raises? If everyone calls, there will be fourteen bets in the pot, not counting your two bets. This is a ratio of 14:2, which is the same as 7:1. What if it's reraised? If everyone calls again, there will then be twenty-one bets in the pot, not counting your three bets. This is a ratio of 21:3, which is still a ratio of 7:1. Listen to the dealer when all the action is completed before the flop. He'll announce the number of players still in the hand, which will help you keep the count straight.
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